Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
CSKA Moskva
30.4%
Draw
38.3%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
CSKA Moskva
vs
1.29
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).