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22 Sept 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Rostov
35.2%
Draw
13.4%
Dynamo Makhachkala

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Rostov

vs
0.45

Dynamo Makhachkala

Markets

BTTS25.4%
Over 0.577.8%
Over 1.547.6%
Over 2.520.8%
Over 3.57.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.2%
0-0
22.2%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-2
2.1%
4-0
1.4%
2-2
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).