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20 Sept 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Martigues
26.4%
Draw
41.0%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Martigues

vs
1.21

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).