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DHT: 00CSV

07 Sept 2024 · 20:00

Malaga

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.0%
Cordoba
23.4%
Draw
39.6%
Malaga

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Cordoba

vs
1.61

Malaga

Markets

BTTS63.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).