Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Birmingham
10.6%
Draw
4.3%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Birmingham
vs
0.42
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
3-0
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
5-0
5.1%
1-1
4.7%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).