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HHT: 11CSV

16 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Ross County
29.1%
Draw
42.2%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Ross County

vs
1.31

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).