Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Montpellier
18.9%
Draw
69.2%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Montpellier
vs
1.99
Lille
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).