Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Catanzaro
22.2%
Draw
16.0%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Catanzaro
vs
0.99
Mantova
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).