Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Eldense
27.3%
Draw
48.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Eldense
vs
1.38
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).