Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
QPR
20.8%
Draw
11.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
QPR
vs
0.73
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).