Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Carrarese
27.9%
Draw
20.4%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Carrarese
vs
0.89
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).