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14 May 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Andorra
29.6%
Draw
25.2%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Andorra

vs
0.82

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).