Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Paris SG
10.7%
Draw
6.5%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Paris SG
vs
0.76
Troyes
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
4.9%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).