Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Castellon
27.6%
Draw
35.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Castellon
vs
1.17
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).