Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Aldershot
20.1%
Draw
18.4%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Aldershot
vs
1.27
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).