Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Cremonese
26.3%
Draw
31.6%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Cremonese
vs
1.38
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).