Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Portsmouth
20.9%
Draw
21.3%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Portsmouth
vs
1.00
Reading
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).