Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
FC Koln
16.2%
Draw
11.7%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
FC Koln
vs
1.07
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).