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14 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.2%
Peterhead
32.5%
Draw
17.3%
Cowdenbeath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Peterhead

vs
0.71

Cowdenbeath

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).