Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Hamburg
23.7%
Draw
23.1%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Hamburg
vs
1.25
Hertha
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).