Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Moreirense
32.1%
Draw
37.8%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Moreirense
vs
1.12
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).