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AHT: 00CSV

18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Hamilton
30.2%
Draw
48.0%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Hamilton

vs
1.48

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).