Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Union Berlin
23.3%
Draw
11.5%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Union Berlin
vs
0.58
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).