Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Hearts
31.6%
Draw
25.6%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Hearts
vs
0.84
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).