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10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.3%
Norwich
19.2%
Draw
9.5%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Norwich

vs
0.67

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).