Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Aris
17.3%
Draw
14.8%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Aris
vs
1.04
Rennes
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).