Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Genoa
22.1%
Draw
9.7%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Genoa
vs
0.59
Ternana
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).