Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Leverkusen
22.0%
Draw
10.4%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Leverkusen
vs
0.61
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).