Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Niort
30.7%
Draw
39.2%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Niort
vs
0.98
Bastia
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
15.7%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).