Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Nantes
23.4%
Draw
24.3%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Nantes
vs
1.02
Troyes
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).