Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Notts County
22.1%
Draw
16.7%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Notts County
vs
0.78
Barrow
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).