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21 Apr 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Molde
22.2%
Draw
51.9%
Bodø / Glimt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Molde

vs
1.90

Bodø / Glimt

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).