Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Yeni Malatyaspor
30.9%
Draw
36.0%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
1.46
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).