Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Freiburg
25.1%
Draw
50.8%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Freiburg
vs
1.76
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).