⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
H

03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
21.2%
FC Koln
21.0%
Draw
57.8%
Farnham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

FC Koln

vs
1.97

Farnham Town

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.0%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).