Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Hatayspor
26.7%
Draw
38.0%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Hatayspor
vs
1.80
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).