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AHT: 03CSV

22 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.0%
RWD Molenbeek
11.5%
Draw
81.5%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

RWD Molenbeek

vs
3.32

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-4
6.7%
1-1
4.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
2-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).