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13 Feb 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.7%
Genk
27.6%
Draw
17.7%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Genk

vs
0.74

Standard

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).