Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Maritimo
17.2%
Draw
75.4%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Maritimo
vs
2.04
Porto
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-2
17.2%
0-3
11.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
0-5
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).