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18 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
22.9%
Draw
24.5%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.37

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).