Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.4%
Port Vale
17.7%
Draw
10.9%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Port Vale
vs
0.68
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).