⚽ FootballData
4 – 2
HHT: 12CSV

29 Oct 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
54.6%
Lorient
21.9%
Draw
23.5%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Lorient

vs
1.04

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).