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HHT: 01CSV

03 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.8%
Barnet
12.4%
Draw
4.8%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.84

Barnet

vs
0.60

Fylde

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.6%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).