Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Burnley
21.5%
Draw
5.4%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Burnley
vs
0.31
Swansea
Markets
BTTS22.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.6%
2-0
19.5%
0-0
13.0%
3-0
11.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
4-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).