Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Shrewsbury
26.2%
Draw
46.3%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Shrewsbury
vs
1.29
Coventry
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).