Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.1%
Norwich
17.9%
Draw
76.1%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Norwich
vs
2.28
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.6%
0-1
12.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-4
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).