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04 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.3%
St Truiden
21.3%
Draw
17.3%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

St Truiden

vs
1.05

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).