⚽ FootballData
4 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

28 Sept 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
41.9%
Altrincham
28.9%
Draw
29.1%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Altrincham

vs
1.11

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).