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26 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Luton
26.3%
Draw
33.8%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Luton

vs
1.08

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).