Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Plymouth
24.7%
Draw
18.9%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Plymouth
vs
0.94
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).